Research

Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades

Economic stagnation arrives as expected as the "Sugar Rush" of liquidity continues to fade from the system.

Chart of the Week: January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

Chart of the Week: January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

Potemkin Economy: Costs & Consequences

A Potemkin economy has lured the Fed, economists, and Wall Street analysts into a potentially dangerous assumption of economic normalcy. However, with a review of how we got here, we can better understand the costs and consequences of monetary interventions.

Rate Hikes: The Fed Won’t Hike Nearly As Much As Expected

Currently, with inflation pushing more than 7%, the highest level in decades, it is not surprising to see the market "pricing in" a more aggressive rate-hiking campaign by the Federal Reserve. As shown via the Daily Shot, the markets expect a certainty of 4-rate hikes in 2022.

“Passive ETFs” Are Hiding The Bear Market

Passive ETFs are hiding a bear market in stocks. That may sound like a strange statement when you look at major stock market indexes hovering near all-time highs. However, much like an iceberg, what we see on the surface hides much of what lies beneath.

“Passive ETFs” Are Hiding The Bear Market

Passive ETFs are hiding a bear market in stocks. That may sound like a strange statement when you look at major stock market indexes hovering near all-time highs. However, much like an iceberg, what we see on the surface hides much of what lies beneath.

Speculative Mania – Was 2021 The Peak?

"Speculative" is a word that aptly sums up the year 2021. The question that remains, however, is whether we have seen the peak in that speculative behavior, or will 2022 continue the trend?

Newsletter

Don't miss

Navigating Trade Winds: HANDLS Indexes Showcase Resiliency in May 2025

The HANDLS Indexes Monthly Income Report for May 2025 underscores notable recoveries across sectors, propelled by easing tariff and trade uncertainties.

Navigating Multi-Factor Market Volatility: A Portfolio Manager’s Guide

Current market conditions present a complex web of interconnected risks that demand careful analysis and strategic positioning.

Markets Gone Wild: April 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

April 2025 delivered a dramatic episode in what has already been a year marked by heightened volatility.

How Advisors Can Prepare for Turbulent Times by Exploring a Risk Balanced Approach

Explore Catalyst Funds | Explore Rational Funds Most investors intuitively understand...

Short-Term Noise Can Lead to Long-Term Opportunity

If you only take one thing from today’s writing, take this: storms are a sideshow to sunnier days.