Hunter Frey is an Analyst at Catalyst Capital Advisors, LLC and Rational Advisors Inc. covering all in-house equity strategies and an insider buying income-oriented strategy at Catalyst Funds. Mr. Frey received a Bachelor of Science degree in International Business with a focus in Spanish from Gardner-Webb University, Godbold School of Business, and is in pursuit of a Master of Business Administration in Economics and Finance from New York University, Stern School of Business.
The most considerable risk to markets has naturally started to shift as COVID-19 uncertainty fizzles out. Inflation, monetary policy shifts, and accelerated economic recovery have emerged as the refocused market risks.
Social status quos will remain challenging to break as excuse maintenance of present circumstances for many will likely linger for years. Permanent changes to the 5-day work week, city living, suburban population increases, and significant public events will probably take many years to normalize as the stigma of COVID-19 will remain challenging to ignore.
As COVID-19 uncertainty starts normalizing, social investing subsiding (post-stimulus checks), and stock market appreciation stalling (compared to mid- 2020 and early 2021 levels), many investors began to seek answers to the most coveted questions in finance: "When is the next market bubble?", "What is the catalyst of this market bubble?" and "How do we (investors) profit or avoid its shockwaves?"
Despite normalcy settling in with almost 30% of Americans fully vaccinated and social restrictions gradually easing, investors should not forget the innovative power of specific sectors that became magnified throughout the pandemic.
Unconventional investing approaches such as insider buying, corporate buybacks, and socially conscious initiatives will remain the investing antagonist to traditional growth and value investing approaches that have the potential to capture “alternative” returns.
As we explained in “The Next Stage of Disruptors: Part 1,” we discussed the start of “the Age of the New Disruptor,” innovative disruptive industries' historical economic dominance, and the microeconomics of innovation. We also highlighted tier 1 disruptors, innovations or technological advancements that have started to gain mainstream adoption, creating some of the most coveted growth investment opportunities to date.
Many yearn for a degree of pre-COVID norms. Nevertheless, as we gradually adapt to the stubborn social standards spawned by the pandemic's reaction, we cannot forget the opportunities it has created and behavioral expectations that will likely remain.
We are now, approximately one year from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic’s onset in the United States. In short, we remain in the midst of a stock market rotation away from “momentum” stocks fueled by COVID-related shutdowns and societal adaptations towards “value” stocks that remain historically cheap and consist of cyclical laggards.