Research Archives - Catalyst Insights

4 min

Could The Fed Trigger The Next “Financial Crisis”

Could the Fed trigger the next "financial crisis" as they begin to hike interest rates? Such is certainly a question worth asking as we look back at the Fed's history of previous monetary actions. Such was a topic I discussed in "Investors Push Risk Bets."

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1 min

Case Study: Capitalizing on Stagflation

Even though the term “stagflation” remains an unconfirmed fear for investors as they try and draw parallels to the 1970s, that does not mean that opportunity does not exist. Rather, it is quite the opposite. A proper understanding of the intricacies of stagflation would indicate that gold, soft commodities, floating-rate bonds, short-term corporate bonds, and legacy non-agency RMBS remain the key asset classes that investors should seek to gain exposure to not only mitigate stagflation risk but to generate higher risk-adjusted returns as well.

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5 min

Charting The Stock Market “Melt Up,” & The Fed’s Naivety

Charting the stock market “melt-up” in prices, and the Fed’s naivety of the laws of physics may be of benefit to younger investors. After more than a decade of rising prices, accelerating markets seem entirely normal, detached from underlying fundamentals. As a result, new acronyms like “TINA” and “BTFD” get developed to rationalize surging prices.

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1 min

Chart of the Week: U.S Productivity Slows to 30 Year Low

U.S Productivity Slows to 30 Year Low

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1 min

Chart of the Week: Events Causing Gold ($/Spot) Price Increases

Events Causing Gold ($/Spot) Price Increases

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5 min

Investors Starting To Realize “Stagflation” Is A Problem.

Investors are slowly waking up to the realization that "stagflation" is a problem. For years, the term "stagflation" has been thrown around and dismissed like a sighting of "Bigfoot." However, rising inflationary pressures are now colliding with slowing economic growth. This collision presents a challenge for Central Bankers and their monetary policy experiments.

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6 min

The 5000-Year View Of Rates & The Economic Consequences

The fact we have the lowest interest rates in 5000-years is indicative of the economic challenges we face. Such was a note brought to my attention by my colleague Jeffrey Marcus of TPA Analytics

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1 min

Chart of the Week: Is Inflation Contained?

Is Inflation Contained?

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7 min

Is the “Best Way To Invest” Always The Best Way?

Is "buy and hold" always the best way to invest? It is common to see increasing numbers of articles touting the benefits of "armchair" investing during long bull market advances. The last decade has been a boon for the index ETF industry, financial applications, and media websites promoting "buy and hold" investing and diversification strategies.

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6 min

Dow 40000 – A Huge Disappointment Of Promises

Dow 40000! Yes, it will eventually happen. Such should not be surprising given the massive amounts of global liquidity chasing fewer assets. But while Dow 40,000 will undoubtedly bring out the “Party Hats,” it is also a massive disappointment of the promises made to investors.