Research Archives - Catalyst Insights

7 min

Bulls Charge to All-Time Highs

While weaker economic data has not yet dented the “bullish sentiment” at this juncture, it doesn’t mean it won’t. However, as we have discussed over the last several weeks, a breakout of the consolidation range, which was capped by the June highs, would put all-time highs into focus.

View Post

1 min

Investing in Commodities: Seasonal Factors Make Active Management Necessary

This whitepaper provides trade examples using seasonal charts as guidance for positioning when taking seasonal factors into consideration. Long-only, indexing, and other passive commodity investing strategies may not address seasonal factors, treating investing in commodities as if they were equities, even though they are very di¬fferent.

View Post

0 min

Is it Insanely Stupid to Chase Stocks as the Economy Plunges?

While the market has not been able to push above the recent July highs. support is holding at the rising bullish trend line. With the short-term “buy signals” back in play, the bias at the moment is to the upside. However, as we have discussed over the last couple of weeks, July held to its historical trends of strength.

View Post

0 min

Stocks Fail to Breakout

With the late week sell-off, we have updated our risk/reward ranges below. Unfortunately, the market failed to hold its breakout, which keeps it within the defined trading range. The market did hold its rising bullish uptrend support trend line, which keeps the “bullish bias” to the market intact for now.

View Post

0 min

Is Value Investing Dead?

Value (investing) is dead. Long live value investing. Such certainly seems to be the mantra as investors continue to pile into growth stocks while rationalizing valuations using methodologies which historically have not worked well.

View Post

0 min

This Is Nuts…Again: Reducing Risk as Tech Goes 1999

When looking at the acceleration in the price of the Nasdaq, and particularly within the small group of stocks driving that advance, you can begin to fathom our concerns. Furthermore, the divergence between the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 index is emulating the late 1990’s.

View Post

9 min

CIFC Releases New Whitepaper: How to Explain CLOs to your Clients

There has been much written recently concerning the topic of CLOs. Many of these writings are bearish with some even predicting financial Armageddon.

View Post

0 min

The Bullish Test Comes as Earnings Season Begins

Over the last few weeks, we have noted the continuing consolidation of the market since the June peak. When markets are overbought short-term, that condition is resolved through a correction or consolidation process. Such is what occurred during the last part of June and completed last week.

View Post

0 min

The Fed Has Inflated Another Asset Bubble

It didn’t take long. Over the last several years, we have discussed the risk of excessive monetary policy inflating a bubble in a variety of assets from debt, to real estate, to stocks.

View Post

0 min

Retail Sales Bounce, But Consumers Are Tapped Out

Despite the bounce in retail sales, there will still be no “V-shaped” recovery.