Research

Last week, the Bureau of economic analysis released revisions to the GDP report for the first quarter of 2020. It fell from a 2.3% annual real growth rate in the 4th quarter of 2019 to a -5% rate in the first.

As noted last week, the markets remain stuck between the 50- and 200-dma. That remained the case this week once again, keeping any expansion of equity positioning on hold.

By most measures U.S. stocks and global bonds have pushed well into high valuation territory, which has preceded periods of very-low prospective returns in the past. For investors to achieve the same results as they achieved over the past 10 years in the next decade, we will have to experience a third major bubble in a row.