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History is Projecting Volatility to SPIKE in 2024
The AAII Investor Sentiment is painting an intriguing picture as we step into the third week of increasing bullish sentiment.
Navigating the Santa Claus Rally
Last week’s market surge carried the November rally forward, a momentum fueled by a significant repricing of interest rates in the bond market. Since the last Federal Reserve meeting, rates…
Analysis: The End of Fed Hikes? And When Markets Are Pricing in the First Cut of 2024
When looking at the markets on the day of the October CPI release (Nov. 14) vs. later in the week (Nov. 16), you’ll notice there’s been a big shift in thinking, with ZERO additional rate hikes…
Broad Market Participation Could be the Story in 2024
CPI is now stable and trending modestly lower with the Fed able to be patient. The stage is now set for broader participation across size & style boxes.
Navigating Economic Volatility Amidst Crucial CPI Data
This week stands as a pivotal moment, with the eagerly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) poised to send ripples through the economic landscape.
Struggling Through the Fall Season: October 2023 HANDLS Monthly Income Report
Securities markets continued to struggle in October in the face of rising interest rates and concerns about whether the Federal Reserve might continue its monetary tightening policy.
A Week of Surprises and Bullish Momentum in the Stock Market
The stock market witnessed a remarkable turnaround last week, with a series of unexpected events that left many traders reeling and, in some cases, reevaluating their positions. In this post,…
A Market Sentiment Check: Bearishness is High, Forward Expectations are Low.
One report I always enjoy getting is the AAII individual investors’ stock sentiment survey. In yesterday’s report, 50.3% of investors reported they are bearish on stocks. For reference, the…
Was the Fed’s November Pause an Ease in Disguise?
Leland Abrams, who serves as Chief Investment Officer for the investment manager Wynkoop LLC and a portfolio manager of a fixed income strategy at Catalyst, provides his analysis of the…
Volatility Zone: Joe Tigay on the Market’s Early Week Rebound and October’s Jobs Report
Volatility is down to start the week as the market is rebouding. Look for the market to move on the Jobs number on friday. Watch OIL as a sign for global growth and the risks of escalation in war.
Economists No Longer Expect A Recession. Are They Right?
Economists no longer expect a recession. Such was according to a recent WSJ survey of Wall Street economists.
The Magnificent Fab Four
It’s been hard to beat the S&P500 so far in 2023. And yet, midstream energy infrastructure continues to close in on a third successive calendar year of outperformance.