White Papers Archives - Catalyst Insights

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1 min

Why 50/30/20 Makes More Sense Than 60/40 For This Market Environment

In an environment set up to be a lost decade for many traditional asset classes, a potentially compelling option is moving from a 60/40 to a 50/30/20 portfolio allocation model to integrate a fund like the Catalyst/Millburn Hedge Strategy Fund (MBXIX), which has generated positive returns in both bull and bear markets.

5 min

“Don’t Be Bearish.” The Inevitable End Of Bad Advice.

“Don’t be bearish.” That was the message delivered by a Wall Street Journal article in August 2021, discussing the “new generation” of “financial media stars.” To wit:

5 min

Recession Warnings Rise, Limiting Fed’s Inflation Fight

Recession warnings are clearly on the rise. Much of the initial media fervor focuses on the inversion of the yield curve.

4 min

Wisdom Of Crowds Isn’t Always Wise To Follow.

The "wisdom of the crowd" isn't always wise to follow. A recent article by Scott Nations via MarketWatch made an excellent point.

5 min

Bear Market Anatomy – Revisiting Russell Napier’s Work (Annotated)

"Anatomy of a Bear Market" by Russell Napier is a "must-read" manuscript. Given current market dynamics, a review seems timely. As my colleague, Richard Rosso, CFP, previously penned:

7 min

Bailouts and the Demise Of Capitalism and Free Markets

Bailouts are the root cause of the dysfunction of capitalism and the demise of free markets.

6 min

Recession Risk: Rising Rapidly (Or, Could We Be In One Already?)

Recession risk is rising rapidly. In fact, it is possible that we may already be in one.

4 min

Oil Spikes And Economic Outcomes

Oil spikes have historically negatively impacted economic outcomes. As the chart below shows, oil spikes typically are short-lived due to some exogenous geopolitical event. However, as was the case from 2003-2008, fundamental concerns, in this case, the fear of "peak oil," can lead to more extended periods of higher prices.

5 min

No. Greedy Corporations Aren’t Causing Inflation

Greedy corporations are not causing inflation. Such is despite the claims of many of those on the political left that failed to understand the very basics of economic supply and demand.

4 min

Geopolitical Risk Could Sideline The Fed

“Geopolitical Risk” could well be a reason for the Fed to slow-roll tightening monetary policy in March. With Russia invading Ukraine, such would not be the first time that the Fed used “geopolitical risk” to remain cautious on changes to monetary policy.

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