Research

Did The Fed’s Monetary Policy Experiment Just Fail?

Did the Fed’s “monetary policy experiment” fail? The recent dislocation between consumer confidence and the financial markets may indicate just that.

When is the Next Bear Market? 3-things Will Tell You

The question I get most often is, “when is the next bear market?” Three specific items tend to predict bear markets and recessions with some accuracy.

When is the Next Bear Market? 3-things Will Tell You

The question I get most often is, “when is the next bear market?” Three specific items tend to predict bear markets and recessions with some accuracy.

Chart of the Week: Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Chart of the Week: Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.”

Newsletter

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My 50-Cents – Fed Analysis from Leland Abrams of Wynkoop, LLC

The Federal Reserve Board cut their benchmark rate this...

A Summer Surge: August 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

After a challenging July that saw investors sell off high-flying technology stocks, buyers returned to the market in August, bidding up risk assets across the board.

Where are the Hidden Risks in Your Portfolio Currently? Plus, an idea.

Allocators add new exposures for a variety of reasons; diversification, returns, risk mitigation, etc. Understanding this, what is the most over-owned and expensive sector today?

Consumer Spending: Are Consumers Tapped Out or Pushing Back?

Consumer Spending: Are Consumers Tapped Out or Pushing Back?  Key...

Knocked Down Inflation: July 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

After a red-hot June built on expectations that the Federal Reserve may succeed at killing inflation without killing the economy, July saw investors begin to question the soft-landing narrative.