Research

Did The Fed’s Monetary Policy Experiment Just Fail?

Did the Fed’s “monetary policy experiment” fail? The recent dislocation between consumer confidence and the financial markets may indicate just that.

When is the Next Bear Market? 3-things Will Tell You

The question I get most often is, “when is the next bear market?” Three specific items tend to predict bear markets and recessions with some accuracy.

When is the Next Bear Market? 3-things Will Tell You

The question I get most often is, “when is the next bear market?” Three specific items tend to predict bear markets and recessions with some accuracy.

Chart of the Week: Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Chart of the Week: Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Fixed Income Annualized Returns Over the Past 18 Years

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.”

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Election Trepidation: October 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

October was marked by continued volatility across fixed income and equity markets as investors faced various challenges, including persistent inflation concerns, rising yields, tightening monetary policy, and the backdrop of a U.S. Presidential election.

The Election Results Are In. The Market Likes the Results.

As an investor, it’s nice to know what we should expect from President Trump, because we have seen the movie before in 2017 – 2021. Apart from the early part of the Pandemic period, the economy and stock markets generally performed well.

Thematic Investing Can Add a Ton of Value to Portfolios

Remember, our investment in stocks is a De facto vote of confidence on the economies in which we invest. Earnings, revenue, margins, free cash flow, and the growth of these important metrics is what drives stocks up or down over time.

Investing in Big Rivers is a No-Brainer, Common Sense Decision.

The discretionary sector struggled as did all growth and quality-oriented areas of the market in 2022. That was a classic re-set and a raging opportunity to add exposure.

The Next Potential Volatility Explosion: Oil

Oil Shocks and Their Impact on the Stock Market:...