Market Trends & Outlook

The seemingly unlimited fiscal and monetary stimulus seen in the past 14 months will have consequences. We believe part of these consequences will show up in the form of inflation.

Social status quos will remain challenging to break as excuse maintenance of present circumstances for many will likely linger for years. Permanent changes to the 5-day work week, city living, suburban population increases, and significant public events will probably take many years to normalize as the stigma of COVID-19 will remain challenging to ignore.

As COVID-19 uncertainty starts normalizing, social investing subsiding (post-stimulus checks), and stock market appreciation stalling (compared to mid- 2020 and early 2021 levels), many investors began to seek answers to the most coveted questions in finance: "When is the next market bubble?", "What is the catalyst of this market bubble?" and "How do we (investors) profit or avoid its shockwaves?"

Wealth around the world has never been higher. Between​​ strong home price appreciation globally and a decade long equity market bull market, total household wealth is approximately $400 trillion. Yes, you heard that right, $400 trillion.

Wow is all I can say after looking at the BEA’s Savings Rate report. Total personal saving was $6 trillion in March which drove the savings rate just over 27% when you add the epic amounts of new cash people are getting.

Despite normalcy settling in with almost 30% of Americans fully vaccinated and social restrictions gradually easing, investors should not forget the innovative power of specific sectors that became magnified throughout the pandemic.

Consumers drive roughly 70% of U.S. economic output. Collectively, we are a very important cohort to track for the overall direction and health of the economy. The consumer, here and abroad, is the most important factor driving economies which makes our actions and expectations key to the stock market.

Consumers drive roughly 70% of U.S. economic output. Collectively, we are a very important cohort to track for the overall direction and health of the economy. The consumer, here and abroad, is the most important factor driving economies which makes our actions and expectations key to the stock market.