Tag: outlook

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Abrams: PPI and CPI Data Releases Show We’ve Essentially Reached Fed’s Target

The producer price index (PPI) release, which generally reflects wholesale prices, which ultimately feed into consumer prices, was below estimates on all fronts this morning (including core).

Monitoring Extremes in Retail Investor Sentiment Offers a Wonderful Edge

There are many ways to track consumer and investor sentiment. Generally, only at extremes does the data offer very compelling investment opportunities.

History is Projecting Volatility to SPIKE in 2024

The AAII Investor Sentiment is painting an intriguing picture as we step into the third week of increasing bullish sentiment.

History is Projecting Volatility to SPIKE in 2024

The AAII Investor Sentiment is painting an intriguing picture as we step into the third week of increasing bullish sentiment.

Navigating the Santa Claus Rally

Last week’s market surge carried the November rally forward, a momentum fueled by a significant repricing of interest rates in the bond market. Since the last Federal Reserve meeting, rates have taken a dramatic dip, sparking optimism in the market.

Broad Market Participation Could be the Story in 2024

CPI is now stable and trending modestly lower with the Fed able to be patient. The stage is now set for broader participation across size & style boxes.

A Market Sentiment Check: Bearishness is High, Forward Expectations are Low.

One report I always enjoy getting is the AAII individual investors’ stock sentiment survey. In yesterday’s report, 50.3% of investors reported they are bearish on stocks. For reference, the historical average for bearishness is 31%.

A Market Sentiment Check: Bearishness is High, Forward Expectations are Low.

One report I always enjoy getting is the AAII individual investors’ stock sentiment survey. In yesterday’s report, 50.3% of investors reported they are bearish on stocks. For reference, the historical average for bearishness is 31%.

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