In my opinion, true active strategies have a very important role in portfolios as complements to passive, cheap beta. Advisors need to understand what they own.
Remember, our investment in stocks is a De facto vote of confidence on the economies in which we invest. Earnings, revenue, margins, free cash flow, and the growth of these important metrics is what drives stocks up or down over time.
The discretionary sector struggled as did all growth and quality-oriented areas of the market in 2022. That was a classic re-set and a raging opportunity to add exposure.
Consumer Spending: Are Consumers Tapped Out or Pushing Back?
Key Summary:
Sentiment towards the consumer and spending is about as negative as I’ve seen.
Assets...
The opportunity in front of investors is unlike anything we have ever seen because the size of the current wealth transfer is unprecedented in world history.
Core allocations should be highly correlated to core themes around the globe. Global consumer spending is 60% of the world’s $100 trillion GDP or $60 trillion per year.
For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.
We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.
Catalyst Funds
Rational Funds
Strategy Shares
