Chart of the Week: January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

Chart of the Week | February 14, 2022
Macro Insights

January CPI (Inflation) Hits a 40-Year High

  • As discussed in ”The Lookout” for the Week of January 7th, higher than forecasted inflation (represented by the 7.5% CPI print for January) will likely weigh on equity market performance (especially large cap companies) and increase volatility as the uncertainty behind a 50-basis point rate hike persists.
  • Equity market volatility will remain, though low overall stock market correlations could bode well for stock pickers and small cap value investors. Collectively, equity markets remain exposed to the looming hawkish Fed and monetary tightening.
  • Investors should remain nimble during the current market environment while increasing exposures to assets that can hedge inflation and provide relative value. Industrial metal commodities (aluminum, copper, graphite, nickel, cobalt, etc.) as well as soft commodities (agricultural products) can provide adequate hedging to market volatility while capitalizing on supply chain constraints and unprecedented weather patterns in high concern regions (i.e., Brazil).
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Hunter Frey is an Analyst at Catalyst Capital Advisors, LLC and Rational Advisors Inc. covering all in-house equity strategies and an insider buying income-oriented strategy at Catalyst Funds. Mr. Frey received a Bachelor of Science degree in International Business with a focus in Spanish from Gardner-Webb University, Godbold School of Business, and is in pursuit of a Master of Business Administration in Economics and Finance from New York University, Stern School of Business.

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