Chart of the Week: Is Inflation Contained?

Chart of the Week | October 11, 2021
Macro Insights

Is Inflation Contained?

  • The 10-Year Breakeven Rate is an expected inflation measure over a 10-year time horizon by calculating the difference between the 10-year nominal Treasury yield and the 10-year Treasury inflation protected securities (TIPS).
  • According to the above, the 10-year Breakeven Rate has hovered around the mid-2% mark since early 2021.
  • Even though 10-year expected inflation has remained contained, investors must remain aware that supply chain bottlenecks, lingering COVID-related issues, elevating gas prices, increasing consumer prices, and growing policy uncertainty can all collectively cause elevated inflation over the next several years.
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Hunter Frey is an Analyst at Catalyst Capital Advisors, LLC and Rational Advisors Inc. covering all in-house equity strategies and an insider buying income-oriented strategy at Catalyst Funds. Mr. Frey received a Bachelor of Science degree in International Business with a focus in Spanish from Gardner-Webb University, Godbold School of Business, and is in pursuit of a Master of Business Administration in Economics and Finance from New York University, Stern School of Business.

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