Research

The Market Is Disconnected From Everything

The market is disconnected from everything. Throughout history, there are correlations you would expect to hold constant between the market, consumer confidence, and the economy. Currently, after a decade of zero interest rate policy, massive amounts of liquidity, and financial supports, the market has become detached from reality.

Inflation vs. Deflation – Which Is The Bigger Threat In 2022?

Inflation vs. deflation – while headlines get filled with “inflation” concerns, historical data shows “deflation” remains a threat.

Chart of the Week: Carbon Efficient Companies Outperform the Overall Market

Carbon Efficient Companies Outperform the Overall Market

Could The Fed Trigger The Next “Financial Crisis”

Could the Fed trigger the next "financial crisis" as they begin to hike interest rates? Such is certainly a question worth asking as we look back at the Fed's history of previous monetary actions. Such was a topic I discussed in "Investors Push Risk Bets."

Charting The Stock Market “Melt Up,” & The Fed’s Naivety

Charting the stock market “melt-up” in prices, and the Fed’s naivety of the laws of physics may be of benefit to younger investors. After more than a decade of rising prices, accelerating markets seem entirely normal, detached from underlying fundamentals. As a result, new acronyms like “TINA” and “BTFD” get developed to rationalize surging prices.

Chart of the Week: Events Causing Gold ($/Spot) Price Increases

Events Causing Gold ($/Spot) Price Increases

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The Calm Before the Storm: A Volatility Pro’s Reflection on Markets at All-Time Highs

We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.

The Ripple Effect: How Smart Money Uses the VIX to Beat Market Panic

An options trader’s perspective on why the “fear index” is actually your portfolio’s best friend

The Volatility Trader’s Reality Check: Markets Do What Markets Do

For those curious about how a volatility trader who also manages portfolios thinks, let me cut through the noise.

Navigating Trade Winds: HANDLS Indexes Showcase Resiliency in May 2025

The HANDLS Indexes Monthly Income Report for May 2025 underscores notable recoveries across sectors, propelled by easing tariff and trade uncertainties.

Navigating Multi-Factor Market Volatility: A Portfolio Manager’s Guide

Current market conditions present a complex web of interconnected risks that demand careful analysis and strategic positioning.