Research

Retail Sales Bounce, But Consumers Are Tapped Out

Despite the bounce in retail sales, there will still be no “V-shaped” recovery.

The Most Important Economic Indicator Crashes Most on Record

Last week, the Bureau of economic analysis released revisions to the GDP report for the first quarter of 2020. It fell from a 2.3% annual real growth rate in the 4th quarter of 2019 to a -5% rate in the first.

Was March A Bear Market? Or, Just A Big Correction?

As noted last week, the markets remain stuck between the 50- and 200-dma. That remained the case this week once again, keeping any expansion of equity positioning on hold.

The Pandemic Portfolio Podcast: Risk Parity, Convexity and Multi-Asset Factors in Extreme Markets

How long will the recession last? How deep will it be? What are the long-term implications for the economy, markets, and society? The global pandemic has ushered in a period of extreme uncertainty and investors are left with too many unanswered questions and afraid for their portfolios. Where do we go from here?

The Pandemic Portfolio Podcast: Risk Parity, Convexity and Multi-Asset Factors in Extreme Markets

How long will the recession last? How deep will it be? What are the long-term implications for the economy, markets, and society? The global pandemic has ushered in a period of extreme uncertainty and investors are left with too many unanswered questions and afraid for their portfolios. Where do we go from here?

Adaptive Asset Allocation: A Different Way to “Manage Futures”

By most measures U.S. stocks and global bonds have pushed well into high valuation territory, which has preceded periods of very-low prospective returns in the past. For investors to achieve the same results as they achieved over the past 10 years in the next decade, we will have to experience a third major bubble in a row.

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Income Shines: November 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

November proved to be a strong month for income-focused investments, with all sectors delivering positive returns despite market volatility.

Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

Building a portfolio for a second Trump term means focusing on companies positioned to benefit from shifting regulatory priorities and trade dynamics.

David Miller on CNBC’s Market Navigator: Will Overheating Hurt Nvidia?

Will Mag 7 stock Nvidia beat estimates? David Miller, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Catalyst Funds, Rational Funds, and Strategy Shares, provided his insights to CNBC on Nov. 19 on why he believes the company will come out ahead this week despite potentially challenging headlines.

Chart of the Week: is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

In October, Goldman Sachs strategists cautioned investors to be prepared for stock market returns during the next decade that are toward the lower end of their typical performance distribution.

What’s the Real Value of Active Management?

In my opinion, true active strategies have a very important role in portfolios as complements to passive, cheap beta. Advisors need to understand what they own.