Research

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.”

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.”

Chart of the Week: Short-Term Bonds Tend to Perform Well During Inflationary Increases

Short-Term Bonds Tend to Perform Well During Inflationary Increases

Chart of the Week: Short-Term Bonds Tend to Perform Well During Inflationary Increases

Short-Term Bonds Tend to Perform Well During Inflationary Increases

#MacroView: Shortest Recession in History Sets Up Next Recession

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the contraction lasted just two months, from February 2020 to April 2020. However, during those two months, the economy fell by 31.4% (GDP), and the financial markets plunged by 33%. Both of those declines, as shown in the table below, are within historical norms.

#MacroView: Shortest Recession in History Sets Up Next Recession

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the contraction lasted just two months, from February 2020 to April 2020. However, during those two months, the economy fell by 31.4% (GDP), and the financial markets plunged by 33%. Both of those declines, as shown in the table below, are within historical norms.

Chart of the Week: The Number of Stocks That Make a Portfolio Diversified

The Number of Stocks That Make a Portfolio Diversified

Chart of the Week: The Number of Stocks That Make a Portfolio Diversified

The Number of Stocks That Make a Portfolio Diversified

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