Market Trends & Outlook

Tax Receipts. Another Leading Recession Indicator?

Tax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent #MacroView post, we discussed the issue of rising debt levels on economic growth and increasing debt levels. To wit:

Stock Risk – Does It Decline Over Time?

Blaise Pascal, a brilliant 17th-century mathematician, famously argued that if God exists, belief would lead to infinite joy in heaven, while disbelief would lead to infinite damnation in hell. But, if God doesn’t exist, belief would have a finite cost, and disbelief would only have, at best a finite benefit.

Stock Risk – Does It Decline Over Time?

Blaise Pascal, a brilliant 17th-century mathematician, famously argued that if God exists, belief would lead to infinite joy in heaven, while disbelief would lead to infinite damnation in hell. But, if God doesn’t exist, belief would have a finite cost, and disbelief would only have, at best a finite benefit.

The Ripple Effect: CPI Numbers, Rate Hikes, and the Fed’s Stick

In the world of finance and economics, every number, decision, and statement has the potential to create a ripple effect across markets. Today, as we delve into the latest CPI (Consumer Price Index) numbers, we find ourselves at a crucial juncture that will set the tone for upcoming job reports and the next Federal Reserve meeting.

The Ripple Effect: CPI Numbers, Rate Hikes, and the Fed’s Stick

In the world of finance and economics, every number, decision, and statement has the potential to create a ripple effect across markets. Today, as we delve into the latest CPI (Consumer Price Index) numbers, we find ourselves at a crucial juncture that will set the tone for upcoming job reports and the next Federal Reserve meeting.

The Ripple Effect: Navigating the Market with a Long-Term Portfolio Management Strategy

In the fast-paced world of finance, it’s easy to get caught up in the daily news cycle and the sensational headlines that dominate the market. However, as a portfolio manager, it’s essential to take a step back, look beyond the noise, and maintain a long-term view.

The Ripple Effect: Navigating the Market with a Long-Term Portfolio Management Strategy

In the fast-paced world of finance, it’s easy to get caught up in the daily news cycle and the sensational headlines that dominate the market. However, as a portfolio manager, it’s essential to take a step back, look beyond the noise, and maintain a long-term view.

What the Largest, Smartest Investors See Going Forward

I’ve always believed watching what the smartest investors in the world are doing, offers the average HNW investor a wonderful advantage. The largest alternative asset managers, including the private equity and private credit firms, have an information advantage over the typical individual investor.

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