Stocks marched higher during the past three months, marking the fifth consecutive quarterly advance since the pandemic-induced crash last year. Value stocks continued their upward momentum but did give up some of their gains relative to growth stocks in June.
Bond yields are sending an economic warning as this past week 10-year Treasury yields dropped back to 1.3%. With the simultaneous surge in the dollar, there is rising evidence the economic “reflation” trade is getting unwound.
“Warnings From Behind The Curtain” almost sounds like the title of a good “Cold War” fiction novel. However, this time, the story is of warnings for investors not often discussed by the mainstream media.
“Warnings From Behind The Curtain” almost sounds like the title of a good “Cold War” fiction novel. However, this time, the story is of warnings for investors not often discussed by the mainstream media.
Debates continue to run rampant during the last six months of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) benchmark. Some think the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) benchmark is the perfect unitary solution. Meanwhile, others believe that a multi-benchmark environment is best. As a result, uncertainty, confusion, and opinions have started to muddle the path of “Life after the LIBOR”.
Debates continue to run rampant during the last six months of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) benchmark. Some think the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) benchmark is the perfect unitary solution. Meanwhile, others believe that a multi-benchmark environment is best. As a result, uncertainty, confusion, and opinions have started to muddle the path of “Life after the LIBOR”.
What is duration? It is a risk by definition. The risk that the value of a fixed rate bond will decline or rise as a result of a change in interest rates.
For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.
We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.
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