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Retail Investors Are Long On Confidence & Short On Experience

In a “market mania,” retail investors are generally “long confidence” and “short experience” as the bubble inflates. While we often believe each “time” is different, it rarely is. It is only the outcomes that are inevitably the same.

Are Commodities on the Brink of a “Supercycle”?

The economic recovery and reflation tailwinds wreaked havoc on stocks and other risk assets last week. As predicted in “Fixed Income’s year Ahead 2021: Short-Term Corporate Bonds & Legacy Non-Agency RMBS” yields at the longer end of the yield curve surged (bear steepening) with the US 10-Year Treasury reaching 1.61% (highest level in almost a year).

Are Commodities on the Brink of a “Supercycle”?

The economic recovery and reflation tailwinds wreaked havoc on stocks and other risk assets last week. As predicted in “Fixed Income’s year Ahead 2021: Short-Term Corporate Bonds & Legacy Non-Agency RMBS” yields at the longer end of the yield curve surged (bear steepening) with the US 10-Year Treasury reaching 1.61% (highest level in almost a year).

How to Evaluate an Investment Strategy: Returns Do Not Tell the Whole Story

It can be difficult decide on a strategy and investment team in a sea of performance statistics. There is no perfect statistic or number for selecting a specific strategy; however, we believe some measures can be useful. This essay will walk through the common metrics used when discussing portfolio performance and provide some context for these numbers.

The Inflation Debate: A Macro Perspective on Finding Value in a Hazy Economy

The inflation debate rages on. Will inflation pick up amid vaccine rollouts, fiscal stimulus, accommodative monetary policy, and federal reserve quantitative easing (QE)?

Don’t Ever Underestimate the Consumer

January Retail Sales Explodes Past Estimates to $568 Billion Making the Trailing 1-year $6.2 Trillion.

Don’t Ever Underestimate the Consumer

January Retail Sales Explodes Past Estimates to $568 Billion Making the Trailing 1-year $6.2 Trillion.

Enter: The Crypto Sphere

While addressing a room full of bankers and so-called financial engineers in the aftermath of the 2007 financial crisis, Paul Volcker stated that the biggest innovation in finance in the last 20 years was the humble yet extremely convenient ATM.

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Private Markets: The Largest Mega Trend in Financial Services

There are several powerful mega-trends happening around the world. One of these trends is happening in the financial services industry and is still a game in the early innings.

Income Shines: November 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

November proved to be a strong month for income-focused investments, with all sectors delivering positive returns despite market volatility.

Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

Building a portfolio for a second Trump term means focusing on companies positioned to benefit from shifting regulatory priorities and trade dynamics.

David Miller on CNBC’s Market Navigator: Will Overheating Hurt Nvidia?

Will Mag 7 stock Nvidia beat estimates? David Miller, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Catalyst Funds, Rational Funds, and Strategy Shares, provided his insights to CNBC on Nov. 19 on why he believes the company will come out ahead this week despite potentially challenging headlines.

Chart of the Week: is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

In October, Goldman Sachs strategists cautioned investors to be prepared for stock market returns during the next decade that are toward the lower end of their typical performance distribution.