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Midyear Outlook 2022: How to Reap Returns During a Recession

As we enter the second half of the year, many questions remain regarding the trajectory of financial markets and the economy. Our stance on stagflation (or "recession-inflation") remains steadfast. Drawing parallels to the mid-1970s, structurally, we are in a stagflation environment amid 41-year high supply-side inflation (driven by soaring oil prices and food prices), slowing GDP, and the eventual unravelment of the tight labor market.

Recession Risks. Are They Already Priced In?

Are recession risks fully “priced in” by the markets? Such was an interesting question asked recently by my colleague Albert Edwards at Societe Generale.

NFIB Signals A Recession Is Coming…Again

NFIB signals a recession is coming…again. The reason I say “again” is because, in September 2019, we discussed these same signals stating:

Catalyst/Rational Instant Reaction & Analysis: Fed Raises Interest Rates 75 Bps

What was once (rather recently) deemed as “off the table” for the Fed this month, the FOMC today took aggressive action, announcing the largest interest rate hike since 1994 (75 bps) as they seek to combat runaway inflation. See below for insights and initial reactions from the investment management teams across the Catalyst and Rational Funds networks:

Catalyst/Rational Instant Reaction & Analysis: Fed Raises Interest Rates 75 Bps

What was once (rather recently) deemed as “off the table” for the Fed this month, the FOMC today took aggressive action, announcing the largest interest rate hike since 1994 (75 bps) as they seek to combat runaway inflation. See below for insights and initial reactions from the investment management teams across the Catalyst and Rational Funds networks:

Another Bear Market, Another Positive Return For This Fund

2022 seems to be setting the stage for the 2020’s to be a lost decade–a decade where an asset class generates negative returns–for both stocks and bonds. A lost decade can derail an investor’s long-term financial goals. But today we’ll explain why not all hope should be lost on investors.

Another Bear Market, Another Positive Return For This Fund

2022 seems to be setting the stage for the 2020’s to be a lost decade–a decade where an asset class generates negative returns–for both stocks and bonds. A lost decade can derail an investor’s long-term financial goals. But today we’ll explain why not all hope should be lost on investors.

What To Expect in Second Half of 2022: A Macro View

As we approach the halfway point of 2022, investors remain uncertain of what to expect throughout the next six months.

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Private Markets: The Largest Mega Trend in Financial Services

There are several powerful mega-trends happening around the world. One of these trends is happening in the financial services industry and is still a game in the early innings.

Income Shines: November 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

November proved to be a strong month for income-focused investments, with all sectors delivering positive returns despite market volatility.

Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

Building a portfolio for a second Trump term means focusing on companies positioned to benefit from shifting regulatory priorities and trade dynamics.

David Miller on CNBC’s Market Navigator: Will Overheating Hurt Nvidia?

Will Mag 7 stock Nvidia beat estimates? David Miller, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Catalyst Funds, Rational Funds, and Strategy Shares, provided his insights to CNBC on Nov. 19 on why he believes the company will come out ahead this week despite potentially challenging headlines.

Chart of the Week: is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

In October, Goldman Sachs strategists cautioned investors to be prepared for stock market returns during the next decade that are toward the lower end of their typical performance distribution.