Economic Insights

Hindsight is 20/20 and the future is always to a degree uncertain. The same is true when looking at the macro environment whether you are an economist, investor, etc. The current macro environment continues to reside under the COVID-induced cloud of uncertainty, spawning overreactions, underreactions, and misdirection.

As we approach the end of the summer, Covid-19 health risks remain prevalent. The new delta variant continues to shed uncertainty around a robust economic recovery. Amid the new variant’s increasing infection rates (even in vaccinated individuals), the Federal Reserve announced that the in-person plans for the Jackson Hole symposium would be replaced with a virtual event on August 27, 2021.

This week the FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday. Most recently released minutes suggest that the gradual cessation of the $120BN in monthly bond buying ($80BN in US treasuries and $40BN in mortgages) is getting closer.

This week the FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday. Most recently released minutes suggest that the gradual cessation of the $120BN in monthly bond buying ($80BN in US treasuries and $40BN in mortgages) is getting closer.

As the economy continues to recover with inflation increasing, many investors are starting to realize that the tech-fueled V-shaped recovery may have caused equity valuations to trade at a premium.

As a follow-up to my last post on the massive investment opportunity in leading luxury goods brands, I wanted to drill down into a particular category within the luxury goods industry. 

Predicting the future of any country in the long-term is not easy – which is precisely why the future of that great sleeping geopolitical behemoth, the European Union, is so hard to do.

Wealth around the world has never been higher. Between​​ strong home price appreciation globally and a decade long equity market bull market, total household wealth is approximately $400 trillion. Yes, you heard that right, $400 trillion.