Economic Insights

The Fed, Fed Funds, CPI, and Stock Returns: A Historical Perspective

As you know, interest rates and inflation have been on the rise and the trajectory has been severe. It's important to remember that the inflation we have today is largely man made and the trajectory of rates and inflation is the "accident" that caused all the chain reactions in asset prices. We can thank our politicians and the Federal Reserve for higher prices and the carnage in our investment portfolios. It didn't have to happen this way. I could write a separate blog on the arrogance and ineffectiveness of the Fed as an organization but suffice to say, the real problems likely began when Ben Bernanke arrived at the Fed in 2006. The trio of Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell has consistently gotten important decisions wrong, failed to see trouble when it was obvious to others, acted too late, and stayed easy far too long. It seems absurd that any central banker could be successful at smoothing the business cycle, let alone for Powell and Co. to accomplish this for a $21 trillion economy.

The Fed, Fed Funds, CPI, and Stock Returns: A Historical Perspective

As you know, interest rates and inflation have been on the rise and the trajectory has been severe. It's important to remember that the inflation we have today is largely man made and the trajectory of rates and inflation is the "accident" that caused all the chain reactions in asset prices. We can thank our politicians and the Federal Reserve for higher prices and the carnage in our investment portfolios. It didn't have to happen this way. I could write a separate blog on the arrogance and ineffectiveness of the Fed as an organization but suffice to say, the real problems likely began when Ben Bernanke arrived at the Fed in 2006. The trio of Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell has consistently gotten important decisions wrong, failed to see trouble when it was obvious to others, acted too late, and stayed easy far too long. It seems absurd that any central banker could be successful at smoothing the business cycle, let alone for Powell and Co. to accomplish this for a $21 trillion economy.

Gaining Valuable Emerging Markets Exposure via Leading Brands

Most investment portfolios in the U.S. have very little direct exposure to emerging markets in general, and India in particular. As global investors in iconic b2b and b2c brands, one of the key themes we are excited about, is the expansion of the emerging middle class across the world.

Gaining Valuable Emerging Markets Exposure via Leading Brands

Most investment portfolios in the U.S. have very little direct exposure to emerging markets in general, and India in particular. As global investors in iconic b2b and b2c brands, one of the key themes we are excited about, is the expansion of the emerging middle class across the world.

Lessons From The “Nifty Fifty”

Recently, Bank of America discussed the “5-Lessons From The Nifty Fifty.” Of course, if you are unfamiliar with the importance of “The Nifty Fifty,” it is worth explaining.

A Historic Amount of Tax Loss Selling Today Leads to Great Buying Opportunities for Tomorrow

If you are an investor or a manager of other people's investments, 2022 has been a particularly difficult year. Generally, fixed income assets act as a safe haven when stocks are under siege. But when inflation and rates are rising, very few assets get spared.

Hard Landing Coming? Investors Don’t Think So.

Is a “hard landing” coming, economically speaking, as the Fed continues its most aggressive rate hike campaign in 40 years? Investors don’t seem to think so as investors continue to chase economically sensitive stocks despite the underlying economic deterioration.

Hard Landing Coming? Investors Don’t Think So.

Is a “hard landing” coming, economically speaking, as the Fed continues its most aggressive rate hike campaign in 40 years? Investors don’t seem to think so as investors continue to chase economically sensitive stocks despite the underlying economic deterioration.

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