Economic Insights

How the Yield Curve Predicts Market Volatility

The 3-month and 30-year yield curve can provide valuable insights into the state of the economy and future market volatility. By paying attention to the shape of the yield curve, investors can better understand market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly.

HOKA: A Growth-Beast in Athleisure & Global Footwear.

Let's talk athleisure because it's a powerful secular growth theme and there's some absolutely dominant brands in the category. We can't talk about sneakers and footwear without leading with Nike. Nike is one of the most recognized and loved brands around the world. Once called Blue Ribbon Sports, Nike was founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1964.

11 Things That 0% Interest Rates Caused

We experienced a decade of quantitative easing and declining interest rates that culminated with an unprecedented multi-trillion-dollar infusion of capital in 2020. But three years later, the party had to end. However, we shouldn't cry because quantitative easing is over, we should smile because it happened 🙂 In remembrance of the last decade, I would like to highlight 11 things that were only possible thanks to 0% interest rates.

Monetizing Uncertainty Through Investments in Alternative Asset Managers

The difficulties of navigating markets in 2022 are well chronicled. Very difficult years tend to create investor PTSD, which often holds them back from uncovering opportunities. In my conversations with advisors and analyzing money flow data, there appears to be lingering apprehension for risk-taking initiatives.

2/10 Yield Curve and Economic Bubbles

The 2/10 yield curve is a widely recognized economic indicator that accurately predicts recessions, but its limitations and the tendency for the stock market to rise even as the curve becomes more inverted highlights the need for a deeper understanding of this indicator and the importance of learning from past economic bubbles to prepare for future downturns.

2/10 Yield Curve and Economic Bubbles

The 2/10 yield curve is a widely recognized economic indicator that accurately predicts recessions, but its limitations and the tendency for the stock market to rise even as the curve becomes more inverted highlights the need for a deeper understanding of this indicator and the importance of learning from past economic bubbles to prepare for future downturns.

Recession Forecasts At Odds With Bullish Formations

Despite mounting evidence supporting recession forecasts, the stock market remains at odds with that outlook. Such leaves investors in a predicament of avoiding a further drawdown in the equity markets but not wanting to miss out on a potential recovery.

Don’t Fight the Fed

As in previous years, the Federal Reserve was clear. It said it was going to raise rates, and it did. Many investors learned last year, to their peril, not to fight the Fed. Going forward, the Fed has said it will raise rates and keep them elevated. Many investors will most likely learn the same lesson this year. Don't fight the Fed…

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November proved to be a strong month for income-focused investments, with all sectors delivering positive returns despite market volatility.

Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

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David Miller on CNBC’s Market Navigator: Will Overheating Hurt Nvidia?

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Chart of the Week: is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

In October, Goldman Sachs strategists cautioned investors to be prepared for stock market returns during the next decade that are toward the lower end of their typical performance distribution.

What’s the Real Value of Active Management?

In my opinion, true active strategies have a very important role in portfolios as complements to passive, cheap beta. Advisors need to understand what they own.