Economic Insights

The Positive Seasonality Effect: It’s Time to Look Past the Negative Sentiment

Positive seasonality is upon us at a time when breadth measures are extreme. Markets are currently in extreme FEAR mode, offering a contrarian opportunity.

Just In Time Oil

Changes in US oil inventories sometimes cause a sharp move in the price of crude. It makes perfect sense, even if it’s hard to tease out much of a statistical relationship from the data.

Navigating Market Trends: Q3 Recap and Q4 Outlook

As we bid farewell to the third quarter of 2023, it’s time to reflect on the market’s performance and prepare for what lies ahead in the final stretch of the year.

Volatility 411: Joe Tigay on Interest Rates, Market Movers, and More

The final week of September is often the most volatile in a historically unpredictable month, according to Joe Tigay of Equity Armor Investments and...

A Blue-Chip Update: Where do Amazon, Nike, and Meta Stand?

Core allocations should be highly correlated to core themes around the globe. Global consumer spending is 60% of the world’s $100 trillion GDP or $60 trillion per year.

Crude Climbs the Wall of Supply Worries

Crude oil has rallied recently, in a much-delayed reaction to numerous analyst forecasts that have been bullish all year.

Options Action: Brian Stutland Featured on CNBC

Brian Stutland of Equity Armor Investments and a portfolio manager for Rational Advisors recently joined CNBC to discuss volatility in the NASDAQ, options trading, and more. 

5 Minutes, 3 Topics, Consumer Focused.

Key Summary: • Chart of the Week: The market is not as expensive as the media describes it. • Brand update #1: Live Nation – robust demand continues & the stock is on sale. • Brand update #2: Uber – strong trends and the shift to profitability continues.

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How Leading Consumer Brands Have Emerged Stronger Since 2019

The last five years have been among the most intense stress tests in modern business history.

The Market’s “Lost” Moment: How Many Seasons Can This Rally Run?

For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.

Can Markets Keep Their Cool? July 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

Politics Trumps the Numbers, Can Markets Keep Their Cool?

The Calm Before the Storm: A Volatility Pro’s Reflection on Markets at All-Time Highs

We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.

The Ripple Effect: How Smart Money Uses the VIX to Beat Market Panic

An options trader’s perspective on why the “fear index” is actually your portfolio’s best friend