Tag: interest rates

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Carry Traders Get Carried Out

It looks like a big margin call started in Japan. The Japanese Yen has become a funding currency in recent years, a source of cheap financing with the proceeds reinvested in better returning assets – such as US$ listed AI stocks.

The Average Annualized Return of Stocks in Higher Interest Rate Regimes Might Surprise You

Key Summary: Conventional wisdom states that stocks generally struggle in periods of higher rates. Fact: stocks generally perform above long-term averages in higher for...

Analysis: The End of Fed Hikes? And When Markets Are Pricing in the First Cut of 2024

When looking at the markets on the day of the October CPI release (Nov. 14) vs. later in the week (Nov. 16), you’ll notice there’s been a big shift in thinking, with ZERO additional rate hikes priced in from the Federal Reserve, signaling their fight against inflation may be coming to an end. A June rate cut has actually been priced in, and there are signs that it’s inching even earlier.

Was the Fed’s November Pause an Ease in Disguise?

Leland Abrams, who serves as Chief Investment Officer for the investment manager Wynkoop LLC and a portfolio manager of a fixed income strategy at...

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