ReSolve Riffs with Cullen Roche on Decoding MMT: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

ReSolve Riffs with Cullen Roche on Decoding MMT: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Our guest this week was Cullen Roche, CIO of Disciplined Funds, founder of Orcam Financial Group and author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance. We discussed topics that included:

  • Disciplined Funds’ macro-oriented investment approach
  • Cullen’s rude awakening – classic economics learned in university is largely at odds with real world economics
  • Taking a step back and learning public finances from first principles
  • Digging into the mechanics of quantitative easing, fiscal policy and other major interventions
  • “If you’re not confused, you don’t understand what’s going on”
  • The Kalecki Equation and wealth concentration
  • Fiscal Stimulus – how much is too much
  • An introduction to Modern Monetary Theory
  • The role played by a “currency monopoly”
  • From an MMT perspective, unemployment is a failure of government
  • Why the median voter is so disappointed with the current system that they will likely swing to one of the extremes – the question is which one?
  • The need for productivity improvement to keep up with fiscal outlays
  • The Real Estate Conundrum – a depreciating block of wood on an ever-scarcer plot of land
  • What percentage of homeowners can withstand rising interest rates?
  • The demographic question, Japanification and home prices
  • Thinking of portfolio construction in the current environment – core and satellites
  • Cullen’s 90/10 Rule – helping investors stick with their structured portfolio allocations by “allowing” them to speculate on a small portion of their assets

This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.

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Adam Butler, CFA, CAIA
Adam Butler, CFA, CAIA
Adam Butler is Chief Investment Officer of ReSolve Asset Management, sub-advisor to an alternative allocation strategy at Rational Funds. He manages ETF and futures based strategies including a global risk parity ETF, two Adaptive Asset Allocation funds, and a multi-strategy hedge fund. Adam is also author of the book Adaptive Asset Allocation: Dynamic Global Portfolios to Profit in Good Times and is ranked in the top 1% of authors by paper downloads on SSRN. He has authored over a dozen papers and dozens of articles on asset allocation; factor investing; quantitative methods; and portfolio optimization. Adam holds both CFA and CAIA charters and appears on BNN Bloomberg and CNBC.

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