Market Trends & Outlook

Full-Time Jobs Suggest Recession Risks Higher Than Thought

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a “soft landing” is at hand. However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought.

Consensus Views for 2024: Where are the Opportunities?

Investors are still neutral on opportunities for risk taking in 2024.

Consensus Views for 2024: Where are the Opportunities?

Investors are still neutral on opportunities for risk taking in 2024.

Abrams: PPI Data Shows Continued Disinflation; Rate Cuts Could Be On Deck

January 12, 2024 - Today’s Producer Price Index report supports the notion that inflation has essentially been defeated.  PPI fell to negative headline MoM, 0% core MoM, 1.8% YoY core change, and 1.0% YoY headline change.

The Consumer in 2024: Steady as She Goes

As we begin 2024, the state of the consumer is a great place to start. As dedicated consumer spending-focused investors, the state of the consumer is an important variable to understand.

Portfolio Return Expectations By Investors Are Too High

A stunning post from VisualCapitalist showed a poll of 8550 investors and 2700 advisors and the gap between the two of future portfolio return expectations. The poll was global; however, I will focus on this post’s domestic portfolio return expectations.

Portfolio Return Expectations By Investors Are Too High

A stunning post from VisualCapitalist showed a poll of 8550 investors and 2700 advisors and the gap between the two of future portfolio return expectations. The poll was global; however, I will focus on this post’s domestic portfolio return expectations.

US Sets Multiple Energy Records in 2023

When the final energy production figures for 2023 are in, the US will have set numerous records.

Newsletter

Don't miss

Private Markets: The Largest Mega Trend in Financial Services

There are several powerful mega-trends happening around the world. One of these trends is happening in the financial services industry and is still a game in the early innings.

Income Shines: November 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

November proved to be a strong month for income-focused investments, with all sectors delivering positive returns despite market volatility.

Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

Building a portfolio for a second Trump term means focusing on companies positioned to benefit from shifting regulatory priorities and trade dynamics.

David Miller on CNBC’s Market Navigator: Will Overheating Hurt Nvidia?

Will Mag 7 stock Nvidia beat estimates? David Miller, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Catalyst Funds, Rational Funds, and Strategy Shares, provided his insights to CNBC on Nov. 19 on why he believes the company will come out ahead this week despite potentially challenging headlines.

Chart of the Week: is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

In October, Goldman Sachs strategists cautioned investors to be prepared for stock market returns during the next decade that are toward the lower end of their typical performance distribution.