Market Trends & Outlook

Full-Time Jobs Suggest Recession Risks Higher Than Thought

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a “soft landing” is at hand. However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought.

Full-Time Jobs Suggest Recession Risks Higher Than Thought

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a “soft landing” is at hand. However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought.

Consensus Views for 2024: Where are the Opportunities?

Investors are still neutral on opportunities for risk taking in 2024.

Consensus Views for 2024: Where are the Opportunities?

Investors are still neutral on opportunities for risk taking in 2024.

Abrams: PPI Data Shows Continued Disinflation; Rate Cuts Could Be On Deck

January 12, 2024 - Today’s Producer Price Index report supports the notion that inflation has essentially been defeated.  PPI fell to negative headline MoM, 0% core MoM, 1.8% YoY core change, and 1.0% YoY headline change.

The Consumer in 2024: Steady as She Goes

As we begin 2024, the state of the consumer is a great place to start. As dedicated consumer spending-focused investors, the state of the consumer is an important variable to understand.

Portfolio Return Expectations By Investors Are Too High

A stunning post from VisualCapitalist showed a poll of 8550 investors and 2700 advisors and the gap between the two of future portfolio return expectations. The poll was global; however, I will focus on this post’s domestic portfolio return expectations.

Portfolio Return Expectations By Investors Are Too High

A stunning post from VisualCapitalist showed a poll of 8550 investors and 2700 advisors and the gap between the two of future portfolio return expectations. The poll was global; however, I will focus on this post’s domestic portfolio return expectations.

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Navigating Tariff Tangles: January 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

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Private Markets: The Largest Mega Trend in Financial Services

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Income Shines: November 2024 HANDLS Monthly Report

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Building a Winning Portfolio for Trump’s Second Term

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