Market Trends & Outlook

Rising Markets + Rising Volatility = The Perfect Storm

Since the middle of December Stocks and Volatility are higher. Former Option Market Makers turned financial advisors Joe Tigay and Brian Stutland Break down why this is happening. Plus the trade of the week $NVDA. Join us as we delve into the perfect storm of volatility, market upswings, and how to capitalize on it all with NVDA options trading. Learn how to navigate the market using the Spike index and the VIX index to maximize your potential with this powerful combination. Don't get left behind in the storm, start trading smarter today.

Rising Markets + Rising Volatility = The Perfect Storm

Since the middle of December Stocks and Volatility are higher. Former Option Market Makers turned financial advisors Joe Tigay and Brian Stutland Break down why this is happening. Plus the trade of the week $NVDA. Join us as we delve into the perfect storm of volatility, market upswings, and how to capitalize on it all with NVDA options trading. Learn how to navigate the market using the Spike index and the VIX index to maximize your potential with this powerful combination. Don't get left behind in the storm, start trading smarter today.

“Theory Of Reflexivity” And Does It Matter?

I received an email this past week concerning George Soros’ “Theory Of Reflexivity.” “I am not a fan of Soros, but this market has the look and feel of the dot com bust of 2000. In a few short words, the AI investment phenomenon is feeding on itself just as the internet and fiber did in 1999.”

The Fed has a credibility problem.

Volatility experts, financial advisors Brian Stutland and Joe Tigay break down last weeks federal reserves statement coupled with Jerome Powel's interview on 60 minutes. Brian has an earnings trade on Palantir. Joe explains long call spreads in options 101.

Q4 Earnings Season Gets Underway With Low Expectations

As we get ready to review the Q4 earnings report, stocks have rallied sharply over the last two months. As we have discussed previously, it will be unsurprising that we will see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. Of course, the high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins. The chart below shows the changes for the Q4 earnings period from when analysts provided their first estimates.

Consumer Stocks: The Mean Reversion Opportunity

In theory, a group of leading companies serving a very large and growing market should also be a solid investment opportunity. Testing this theory using a look-back of the actual performance of a basket of leading Consumer Discretionary brands offers some proof to this thesis.

Full-Time Jobs Suggest Recession Risks Higher Than Thought

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a “soft landing” is at hand. However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought.

Full-Time Jobs Suggest Recession Risks Higher Than Thought

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a “soft landing” is at hand. However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought.

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