Stocks posted a sharp rebound during the second quarter, as investors bid up prices in anticipation that the economy would enjoy a sharper than expected bounce-back from depths of the COVID-19 nationwide shutdowns that occurred in late March and early April.
While May’s Retail Sales Report showed a historic rebound versus historic plunges in March and April, we expect most economic data to normalize at lower levels and continue to stay volatile.
Key Points
• Stock markets often over-react, the truth mostly lives in the middle.
• We have likely begun the stagnation part of our economic reality.
•...
On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the widely expected employment report for May. Despite continued weekly jobless claims over the last month exceeding more than 8 million, the BLS reported an increase of more than 2.5 million jobs in May.
The headlines are still unnerving and volatility remains a worry. Many asset classes have yet to recover and countless investors fear additional losses. Fundamentals, investor positioning and sentiment are all conveying mixed signals.
The HANDLS Indexes Monthly Income Report for May 2025 underscores notable recoveries across sectors, propelled by easing tariff and trade uncertainties.