The bear market is over. While that statement fills the mainstream media, it remains a hotly debated question in every media forum. It is an interesting point considering that it was just in June we were answering the question of “when will this bear market end?”
Investors are terrified. Such is what you would assume from recent mainstream media headlines and CNBC’s continuous run of “Markets In Turmoil.” There are also plenty of indicators suggesting that retail investors are terrified about financial markets. For example, the net percentage of bullish responses from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and the Institutional Investors index (INVI) are near previous bear market lows. Such is despite the sharp rally over the last two weeks.
Once a tried-and-true approach to investing, market observers have begun to cast doubt on the 60/40 portfolio approach, and with inflation and interest rates both on the rise, investors making changes are doing so with good reason.
Once a tried-and-true approach to investing, market observers have begun to cast doubt on the 60/40 portfolio approach, and with inflation and interest rates both on the rise, investors making changes are doing so with good reason.
2022 seems to be setting the stage for the 2020’s to be a lost decade–a decade where an asset class generates negative returns–for both stocks and bonds. A lost decade can derail an investor’s long-term financial goals. But today we’ll explain why not all hope should be lost on investors.
2022 seems to be setting the stage for the 2020’s to be a lost decade–a decade where an asset class generates negative returns–for both stocks and bonds. A lost decade can derail an investor’s long-term financial goals. But today we’ll explain why not all hope should be lost on investors.
The second quarter of 2022 continues with intense volatility. Both equity markets and bond markets continue to unravel the complexities of supply constraints, stagflation, hawkish Fed policy (and the velocity of rate hikes), slower domestic and global economic growth, geopolitical headwinds (i.e., the Russia-Ukraine war), the commodity "Supercycle," persistent COVID-19 demand woes (i.e., China lockdowns), and potential Gray Rhino events (spurred by fears of the current environment). Recessionary fears and a flight to safety remain investors' top priorities.
Buying stocks is easy; the hard part is knowing when to sell. I read an excellent article recently by Michael Batnick on his trials and tribulations in owning a stock. To wit:
We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.
The HANDLS Indexes Monthly Income Report for May 2025 underscores notable recoveries across sectors, propelled by easing tariff and trade uncertainties.
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