Currently, depending on whether you are “bullish” or “bearish,” there is much angst over the prospect of higher inflation. If you are bullish, higher inflation is a reflection of surging economic growth. If you are bearish, higher inflation leads to rising costs and higher rates. However, we need a better definition of what inflation is.
May kicked off with a stunning miss on the previous month’s employment report which came in at a disappointing 266k and confirmed recent anecdotal evidence from across the economy that if the government incentivizes its labor force to stay home, it will do just that.
May kicked off with a stunning miss on the previous month’s employment report which came in at a disappointing 266k and confirmed recent anecdotal evidence from across the economy that if the government incentivizes its labor force to stay home, it will do just that.
The most considerable risk to markets has naturally started to shift as COVID-19 uncertainty fizzles out. Inflation, monetary policy shifts, and accelerated economic recovery have emerged as the refocused market risks.
The seemingly unlimited fiscal and monetary stimulus seen in the past 14 months will have consequences. We believe part of these consequences will show up in the form of inflation.
The seemingly unlimited fiscal and monetary stimulus seen in the past 14 months will have consequences. We believe part of these consequences will show up in the form of inflation.
The media is buzzing with claims of an “Economic Boom” in 2021. While the economy will most certainly grow in 2021, the question is how much is already “baked in?”
For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.
We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.
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