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What To Expect in Second Half of 2022: A Macro View

As we approach the halfway point of 2022, investors remain uncertain of what to expect throughout the next six months.

Corn Prices Will Remain High

While wheat prices have garnered significant attention since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, corn has arguably been the agricultural commodity most affected by the war. In 2021, Ukraine was the third-largest corn exporter in the world, accounting for 11.4 percent of global exports.

Oil, Inflation, Fed, and the Economy

Will this bear market end soon? Joe Tigay of Equity Armor and portfolio manager of a volatility-hedged equity strategy says there’s not many signs of it stopping just yet. Watch “Volatility 411” for his latest insights on oil prices, the Fed’s path forward, the chances of a recession, and more.

The Biggest Crash In History Is Coming? Kiyosaki Says So.

Robert Kiyosaki recently tweeted, “The best time to prepare for a crash is before the crash. The biggest crash in world history is coming. The good news is the best time to get rich is during a crash. The bad news is the next crash will be a long one.”

The Discipline of Forecasting: The Benefits of Systematic Approaches During Uncertainty (Part 1)

The second quarter of 2022 continues with intense volatility. Both equity markets and bond markets continue to unravel the complexities of supply constraints, stagflation, hawkish Fed policy (and the velocity of rate hikes), slower domestic and global economic growth, geopolitical headwinds (i.e., the Russia-Ukraine war), the commodity "Supercycle," persistent COVID-19 demand woes (i.e., China lockdowns), and potential Gray Rhino events (spurred by fears of the current environment). Recessionary fears and a flight to safety remain investors' top priorities.

Catalyst/Rational Instant Reaction: Fed Raises Rates 50 Bps; Takes 75 bp Hike Off Table for June

Catalyst and Rational investment teams initial reaction to today’s 50 bps rate hike from the Federal Reserve and the subsequent Q&A session.

Catalyst/Rational Instant Reaction: Fed Raises Rates 50 Bps; Takes 75 bp Hike Off Table for June

Catalyst and Rational investment teams initial reaction to today’s 50 bps rate hike from the Federal Reserve and the subsequent Q&A session.

Is Mining the Next Shale?

Before there were Saudis – there were Texans. In 1948, U.S. oil production and reserves accounted for 64 percent and 34 percent of the global total. Texas was the largest U.S. producer by far, accounting for 45 percent of total U.S. production.

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How Leading Consumer Brands Have Emerged Stronger Since 2019

The last five years have been among the most intense stress tests in modern business history.

The Market’s “Lost” Moment: How Many Seasons Can This Rally Run?

For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.

Can Markets Keep Their Cool? July 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

Politics Trumps the Numbers, Can Markets Keep Their Cool?

The Calm Before the Storm: A Volatility Pro’s Reflection on Markets at All-Time Highs

We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.

The Ripple Effect: How Smart Money Uses the VIX to Beat Market Panic

An options trader’s perspective on why the “fear index” is actually your portfolio’s best friend