Economic Insights

Consumer Spending on “Selective Indulgences” Remains Strong

Aggregate spending is a bit above the long-term trend, so we expect the spending dynamic to change as consumers continue to make important choices. As personal income goes positive as inflation cools over time, positive spending and saving dynamics will emerge.

Consumer Spending on “Selective Indulgences” Remains Strong

Aggregate spending is a bit above the long-term trend, so we expect the spending dynamic to change as consumers continue to make important choices. As personal income goes positive as inflation cools over time, positive spending and saving dynamics will emerge.

The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History.

The artificial intelligence, or "AI," revolution is upon us. The financial media and headlines are abuzz with stories of generative "AI" and the subsequent "industrial revolution."

The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History.

The artificial intelligence, or "AI," revolution is upon us. The financial media and headlines are abuzz with stories of generative "AI" and the subsequent "industrial revolution."

Consumer Spending is Mean Reverting Back to Long-Term Trend

When consumers were locked in their homes and shopping online, savings rates and goods spending went parabolic. When things go parabolic, they should be expected to mean revert to the long-term trend over time. That’s exactly what has happened with Retail Sales and the components within this $7 trillion per year component of GDP.

The Jackrabbit Case: Navigating the Ups and Downs of the Market

When we think about the stock market, we often assume that it moves in a linear fashion. Up or down. However, there are times of uncertainty that the market reacts like a jackrabbit – bouncing up and down, all around.

The Jackrabbit Case: Navigating the Ups and Downs of the Market

When we think about the stock market, we often assume that it moves in a linear fashion. Up or down. However, there are times of uncertainty that the market reacts like a jackrabbit – bouncing up and down, all around.

What Higher-Than-Expected Jobless Claims Could Mean for the Economy, Fed’s Path Forward, and More

Leland Abrams of Wynkoop, LLC and a portfolio manager of a fixed income fund at Catalyst, provides his analysis and snapshot of the current economy...

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