Economic Insights

Economic Data Analysis for June 15 – Market Sees What the Fed Won’t Admit To (Just Yet)

Leland Abrams of Wynkoop, LLC and a portfolio manager of a fixed income fund at Catalyst, provides his analysis of the June 15 economic data...

“Talk is Cheap” – What the Fed’s Decision to Pause Interest Rate Hikes Could Mean for Investors

The FOMC left the benchmark federal funds rate unchanged this week at 5-5.25%. However, the summary of economic projections (SEP) dot plot indicated two more 25 bp rate hikes this year and higher rates in 2024 and 2025. The FOMC statement was decidedly hawkish as was the press conference.

CPI June Reaction: Don’t Be Fooled by the 0.4% Month-Over-Month Gain in the Core!

Following the June 13 CPI report that shows inflation has dipped to 4% year-over-year (YoY) but Core inflation is up 0.4% on the month,...

May HANDLS Market Recap: Cloudy with a Ray of Sunshine

The graph and table above provide return data for major income-oriented asset categories for the month of May 2023 and YTD 2023. Returns for...

In the Real World, We Love When Great Merchandise Goes on Sale. In the Investment World, Sales Can Offer Money-Making Opportunities.

We know intuitively, buying great merchandise on sale is something consumers love. Ironically, in the investment business, when great stocks go on sale, investors tend to freeze or sell. That’s a mistake.

Navigating Volatility: Portfolio Allocation Insights for Concerned Investment Advisors

Investment advisors face challenges in managing portfolios amidst a dynamic market. One notable trend is the flat performance of Russell 1000 value, coupled with suppressed volatility in a range-bound market. Concerns arise from the concentration of gains within a few names, particularly in the tech sector, within the S&P 500.

Consumer Spending on “Selective Indulgences” Remains Strong

Aggregate spending is a bit above the long-term trend, so we expect the spending dynamic to change as consumers continue to make important choices. As personal income goes positive as inflation cools over time, positive spending and saving dynamics will emerge.

Consumer Spending on “Selective Indulgences” Remains Strong

Aggregate spending is a bit above the long-term trend, so we expect the spending dynamic to change as consumers continue to make important choices. As personal income goes positive as inflation cools over time, positive spending and saving dynamics will emerge.

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