Market Trends & Outlook

Is the Bond Market Giving us a Warning Sign?

I'm sorry to bring this to your attention, but as a close watcher of the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) for the past 20 years I felt it was my duty bring to light some ominous notes, unfortunately, and see below two charts comparing TLT (ETF that tracks long-term Treasury bonds) and the VIX.

Doomsayers Aside, Base Case for Credit Markets Looks Positive in 2020

The Armageddonists have cost many investors money over the years and we suspect 2019 was another example. As a good reminder for us all,...

Agency RMBS Income Strategist Comments on Whether the Fed is Done for Now with Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) recently held its last meeting of 2019, and the first meeting since June where it did not...

Agency RMBS Income Strategist Comments on Whether the Fed is Done for Now with Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) recently held its last meeting of 2019, and the first meeting since June where it did not...

Will the Low Cost, Passive Equity Trade Unwind in the 2020’s?

Clients should understand that the 2020’s may be another lost decade for equities, and passive strategies may prove to be underperformers.

Portfolio Manager Discusses Why Corn Prices Showing Weakness Even with the Trade Deal Being Negotiated

Trade talk updates between the U.S. and China have had agriculture prices bouncing up and down lately. Much of the news has been focused around soybean purchases, which pull corn prices up temporarily. However, the gains have not been able to hold, nonetheless.

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Rate Cut Hype Fuels Growth: August 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

Suffice to say, all of this reinforces a timeless investing principle: diversification pays off over the long haul.

How Leading Consumer Brands Have Emerged Stronger Since 2019

The last five years have been among the most intense stress tests in modern business history.

The Market’s “Lost” Moment: How Many Seasons Can This Rally Run?

For months, investors have been scaling what feels like an endless wall of worry. Each concern that gets resolved seems to spawn new uncertainties, yet the market has continued its relentless climb higher.

Can Markets Keep Their Cool? July 2025 HANDLS Monthly Report

Politics Trumps the Numbers, Can Markets Keep Their Cool?

The Calm Before the Storm: A Volatility Pro’s Reflection on Markets at All-Time Highs

We’ve lived this movie before. Last August, AAII bullish sentiment struck a 52-week high right before the Fed launched its September rate cutting cycle.