Market Trends & Outlook

April HANDLS Market Recap: Calm Under Fire?

Despite a banking crisis that occupied the attention of the financial world in April, the broad securities markets turned in a ho-hum performance during the month. The Core Large Cap Equity category delivered a 0.9% return, driven by strong returns in dividend-paying equities. Meanwhile, the Core Fixed Income category generated a 0.6% return in April.

April HANDLS Market Recap: Calm Under Fire?

Despite a banking crisis that occupied the attention of the financial world in April, the broad securities markets turned in a ho-hum performance during the month. The Core Large Cap Equity category delivered a 0.9% return, driven by strong returns in dividend-paying equities. Meanwhile, the Core Fixed Income category generated a 0.6% return in April.

Instant Fed Reaction – Fed Raises Rates 25 bps; Pause Ahead?

Following the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to raise interest rates 25 bps this afternoon, Leland Abrams, portfolio manager of a fixed income fund, provided his initial market insights.

Instant Fed Reaction – Fed Raises Rates 25 bps; Pause Ahead?

Following the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to raise interest rates 25 bps this afternoon, Leland Abrams, portfolio manager of a fixed income fund, provided his initial market insights.

Breakeven Inflation Rates Falling Isn’t Bullish

Since 2021, as the impact of an economic shutdown collided with $5 Trillion in artificial, stimulus-driven demand, inflation has consumed everything from headlines to financial markets and the Fed’s monetary policy. With employment back to pre-pandemic levels, the monetary impulse has reversed, the supply-demand imbalance has normalized, and inflation is falling. Changes to the money supply precede changes in inflation by about 16 months.

Breakeven Inflation Rates Falling Isn’t Bullish

Since 2021, as the impact of an economic shutdown collided with $5 Trillion in artificial, stimulus-driven demand, inflation has consumed everything from headlines to financial markets and the Fed’s monetary policy. With employment back to pre-pandemic levels, the monetary impulse has reversed, the supply-demand imbalance has normalized, and inflation is falling. Changes to the money supply precede changes in inflation by about 16 months.

Recession Odds Jump As The Fed Crushes Consumers

Recession odds have climbed considerably since Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress and the latest FOMC meeting. However, the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Credit Suisse (CS), as higher rates impact regional bank liquidity, also added to the risks.

Recession Odds Jump As The Fed Crushes Consumers

Recession odds have climbed considerably since Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress and the latest FOMC meeting. However, the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Credit Suisse (CS), as higher rates impact regional bank liquidity, also added to the risks.

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